Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 15.587871 17.629647 19.906181 22.645156 25.867571 29.558444 34.134597
2025-10-12 13.188635 15.894504 19.163101 23.449121 28.991083 36.013021 45.742770
2025-10-19 11.239548 14.100602 17.738699 22.787559 29.747761 39.212567 53.430041
2025-10-26 10.347511 13.433820 17.535805 23.519492 32.257396 44.939405 65.507692
2025-11-02 9.327951 12.437185 16.715558 23.209959 33.148471 48.375636 74.742694
2025-11-09 8.475841 11.559553 15.930559 22.798530 33.751466 51.368446 83.764828
2025-11-16 7.807108 10.865118 15.316983 22.535503 34.495129 54.630647 93.862493
2025-11-23 7.151732 10.124076 14.550192 21.922875 34.548822 56.679151 102.098135
2025-11-30 6.694839 9.637082 14.117184 21.782750 35.355556 60.145442 113.858009
2025-12-07 6.121920 8.924930 13.266226 20.849225 34.628625 60.625541 119.457790
2025-12-14 5.570505 8.206788 12.347938 19.707332 33.376250 59.887974 122.187481
2025-12-21 5.200055 7.750087 11.818719 19.189406 33.219276 61.297302 130.197097
2025-12-28 5.369883 8.187130 12.822839 21.549229 39.005312 76.268664 176.457847
2026-01-04 5.235252 8.111608 12.949914 22.313765 41.740373 85.263202 210.828841
2026-01-11 4.893661 7.661531 12.384153 21.691047 41.469457 87.236812 225.799899
2026-01-18 4.779119 7.591096 12.485364 22.379413 44.137209 96.888682 268.358097
2026-01-25 4.535053 7.277707 12.119497 22.088355 44.562098 100.954338 294.342944
2026-02-01 4.298618 6.962697 11.726791 21.701397 44.709458 104.324494 319.451982
2026-02-08 4.099094 6.701447 11.415654 21.453962 45.154805 108.624369 350.222981
2026-02-15 3.874239 6.381323 10.970520 20.877484 44.717978 110.325289 371.530757
2026-02-22 3.718798 6.179489 10.739615 20.745594 45.380132 115.447006 410.288318
2026-03-01 3.488548 5.827237 10.193131 19.866621 44.011459 114.074187 419.136196
2026-03-08 3.251004 5.450830 9.579162 18.790685 42.011832 110.383743 415.658418